Bangladesh vs Australia Prediction & Match Preview – 3rd ODI, Dhaka

Bangladesh arrive for the final ODI of the Australia tour having already secured the series with two convincing wins in Dhaka. Their batting has found its rhythm at the right time: Najmul Hossain Shanto has 109 runs at an average of 54.50, Tanzid Hasan struck a brisk 54 at a strike rate of 117.39, and Towhid Hridoy has added 71 runs, including an unbeaten 40 in a tricky chase.

Mosaddek Hossain has been the pick of the lot. His unbeaten 86 in the first game rescued Bangladesh from 106/4 to 284/8, and he has chipped in with the ball at an economy of 3.58. Mustafizur Rahman leads the wicket-takers with five at 4.13 an over, while Taskin Ahmed and Nahid Rana have four apiece, with Nahid regularly touching 150 kph.

Australia’s tour has been disrupted. Mitchell Marsh is out with an ankle injury and Travis Head is away on personal leave, leaving Josh Inglis to lead an inexperienced group facing a 3-0 defeat. Cameron Green has 77 runs at an average of 77, Marnus Labuschagne made 55 in the second game and Alex Carey has 60, but partnerships have been scarce and Matt Short has fallen first ball twice. Nathan Ellis and Matt Renshaw have three wickets each, Adam Zampa just one, and four dropped catches have not helped.

Probable playing XI

Pitch report

Dhaka’s Shere Bangla surface is traditionally slow and helps spin more as a game wears on. Batters can profit early if they are patient, but quick scoring is hard because of the sluggish pace and uneven bounce. Seamers get little movement and lean on cutters and variations. Totals of 240–270 are usually competitive in ODIs here, and the middle overs tend to decide the contest.

Weather

Expect a hot, humid late morning in Dhaka, with temperatures of roughly 31–33°C and humidity above 75%. Skies should be partly cloudy and a light breeze may help a little. Rain looks unlikely at the start, though cloud and scattered showers or thunderstorms later in the day cannot be ruled out.

Expected scores

• 1st innings: 260–290
• 2nd innings: 240–280