New Zealand vs West Indies Prediction & Match Preview – 2nd Test, Wellington

New Zealand and West Indies arrive in Wellington with everything still to play for. The first Test in Christchurch ended in a draw, largely thanks to a stubborn West Indies fightback led by Justin Greaves, whose unbeaten 202 held the Black Caps at bay. Shai Hope also reached a maiden Test hundred in that match, and Kemar Roach contributed an unbeaten 58 down the order.

The hosts are short of fast-bowling options. Matt Henry, Nathan Smith and Mitchell Santner are all carrying injuries, so the attack is being reshuffled. Uncapped quicks Michael Rae and Jacob Duffy are in contention alongside Blair Tickner and Zak Foulkes, with Rachin Ravindra offering a spin option. The batting leans on Tom Latham, Kane Williamson, who made 52 in the first innings, and Daryl Mitchell. Glenn Phillips comes back into the middle order after strong domestic form.

West Indies, captained by Roston Chase, remain unbeaten on the tour. Their pace group of Jayden Seales, Anderson Phillip and Roach will look for early breakthroughs, with debutant Ojay Shields and spinner Jomel Warrican in support. Much may depend on whether openers John Campbell and Tagenarine Chanderpaul can give the innings a solid start. Home conditions favouring disciplined lines and swing tilt our preview slightly towards New Zealand.

Pitch report

The Basin Reserve surface usually carries some grass, which helps seamers find swing and movement early on, particularly under cloud or in a strong breeze. Once the new ball loses its shine the pitch tends to ease and set batters can play with more freedom. Spin normally has a limited role, although a little grip can appear later in a long contest. The opening session is likely to shape the match.

Weather

Mild, partly cloudy conditions are forecast for Wellington around 11:00 am local time, with temperatures between 18 and 20°C. A moderate westerly wind could help the bowlers with swing, and there is a slight chance of light showers, though serious interruptions look unlikely.

Expected scores

• 1st innings: 280–320
• 2nd innings: 260–300