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T20 Blast 2026 · Quarter-Final 3
NOTNottinghamshire
VS
SURSurrey

Nottinghamshire vs Surrey Prediction & Match Preview – T20 Blast Quarter-Final 3

Nottinghamshire host Surrey at Trent Bridge in the third quarter-final of the T20 Blast 2026, and both teams come in after defeats.

Nottinghamshire lost by 18 runs to Yorkshire, who made 193; the hosts were held to 175. Jack Haynes scored 37 from 25 balls and Dillon Pennington added a quick 37 late on, but the rest of the order did not support them. Liam Patterson-White took three wickets, with Benny Howell and George Linde also chipping in. George Munsey has 477 runs in his last 12 matches and Mohammad Ali leads the attack with 19 wickets.

Surrey were bowled out for 123 by Essex, who chased it down in 16.5 overs. Josh Philippe top-scored with 33 from 25 balls and Chris Jordan added 25 from 16. Sean Abbott and Tom Lawes took one wicket each. Jason Roy has 397 runs at 39.70 this season, and Reece Topley has 19 wickets in 12 matches.

With the quarter-final pressure on both sides, we expect the toss winner to bat first at a ground where totals of 180 or more are common. Home conditions give Nottinghamshire a slight lean, but we have not named a winner given how evenly the sides are matched.

Probable playing XI

Nottinghamshire

  1. Joe Clarke (c)
  2. George Munsey
  3. Jack Haynes
  4. Freddie McCann
  5. Tom Moores
  6. George Linde
  7. Benny Howell
  8. Liam Patterson-White
  9. Dillon Pennington
  10. Olly Stone
  11. Binura Fernando

Surrey

  1. Jason Roy
  2. Laurie Evans
  3. Josh Philippe
  4. Ollie Pope (c)
  5. Dan Lawrence
  6. Tom Curran
  7. Jordan Clark
  8. Chris Jordan
  9. Sean Abbott
  10. Tom Lawes
  11. Reece Topley

Pitch report

Trent Bridge is regarded as one of England’s best batting surfaces in limited-overs cricket, with good pace, true bounce and a quick outfield. New-ball bowlers can find swing and seam early, especially under cloud, but the pitch stays consistent and holds up well. Scores of 180–200 are usually competitive in T20s, and anything above 200 is a strong total.

Weather

The 4:30 pm start is forecast to be sunny and warm at 26–27°C, with a light to moderate breeze and little chance of rain. Conditions should suit a full match on a good batting surface.

Expected scores

  • 1st innings: 175–185
  • 2nd innings: 165–180

Frequently asked questions

Who is expected to win Nottinghamshire vs Surrey?

It looks close, and home advantage at Trent Bridge gives Nottinghamshire a slight lean.

Who is tipped to win the toss?

We expect Nottinghamshire to win the toss and bat first.

What score should the side batting first aim for?

At least 180 would put real pressure on the opposition in a knockout game.

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