Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Prediction & Match Preview – BBL 15th Match

Hobart Hurricanes host Melbourne Renegades in the 15th match of the 2025-26 Big Bash League at Bellerive Oval on Monday, 29 December.

The Hurricanes have won three of their first four games. Nikhil Chaudhary has made 161 runs in four games at a strike rate of 148 and Ben McDermott leads the side’s run charts with 165, with Mitch Owen and Matthew Wade also in the mix. The absence of Tim David through injury is a concern. Riley Meredith and Nathan Ellis have shared seven wickets, Chris Jordan is trusted at the death and Rishad Hossain offers wrist spin.

The Renegades have won one and lost one, leaving them in the lower half of the table. Tim Seifert has made 129 runs in two innings at a strike rate of 177 and Oliver Peake has 71 at 170, with Mohammad Rizwan, Jake Fraser-McGurk and Will Sutherland needing to chip in. Jason Behrendorff has four wickets at an economy of 9.85, Gurinder Sandhu and Sutherland have three each, and Adam Zampa’s four overs could disrupt Hobart’s middle order.

Our preview expects batting first to be favoured under lights, with a total above 175 hard to chase.

Probable playing XI

Pitch report

Bellerive Oval generally offers a balanced contest. The new ball can swing in cool Tasmanian conditions, so shot selection matters early, and the pitch flattens out as the innings progresses. Spin has limited turn on offer, so accuracy and variations count for more than grip. It tends to produce competitive T20 totals and rewards patience combined with smart acceleration.

Weather

Mostly cloudy, mild conditions are expected at 7:15 pm local time, with temperatures of around 17–18 °C, light to moderate winds and no significant chance of rain during play.

Expected scores

• 1st innings: 160–180
• 2nd innings: 155–175

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