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Big Bash League 2025-26

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Prediction & Match Preview – BBL 33rd Match

Our verdict

Melbourne Renegades

Thunder are already out of contention and have struggled to defend totals, so Renegades, still chasing a finals place, are favoured.

Toss pick: Sydney Thunder

Big Bash League 2025-26Sydney ThunderMelbourne RenegadesSydney Showground Stadium

Sydney Thunder host Melbourne Renegades with very different incentives. David Warner’s side became the first team in the competition to be knocked out of finals contention, and their latest game ended in a seven-wicket defeat to Brisbane Heat when the bowlers could not defend a decent total.

Warner will look to give the top order a platform alongside Matthew Gilkes, with Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings and Nic Maddinson in the middle and Daniel Sams and Chris Green as finishers. David Willey and Ryan Hadley are tasked with early breakthroughs, while Green, Wes Agar and Tanveer Sangha try to control the middle overs.

Will Sutherland’s Renegades are seventh in the standings after an eight-wicket loss to Melbourne Stars and need a big win to lift their net run rate. Josh Brown batted well in that game and should open with Tim Seifert, while Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mohammad Rizwan and Caleb Jewell must build partnerships. Brendan Doggett and Jason Behrendorff are expected to lead the bowling, supported by Gurinder Sandhu, Callum Stow and Hassan Khan.

Probable XIs

Sydney Thunder

  1. David Warner (c)
  2. Matthew Gilkes
  3. Cameron Bancroft
  4. Sam Billings (wk)
  5. Nic Maddinson
  6. Daniel Sams
  7. David Willey
  8. Chris Green
  9. Tanveer Sangha
  10. Ryan Hadley
  11. Wes Agar

Melbourne Renegades

  1. Will Sutherland (c)
  2. Josh Brown
  3. Tim Seifert
  4. Mohammad Rizwan (wk)
  5. Jake Fraser-McGurk
  6. Caleb Jewell
  7. Hassan Khan
  8. Gurinder Sandhu
  9. Brendan Doggett
  10. Jason Behrendorff
  11. Callum Stow

Pitch report

Sydney Showground is a good batting venue for T20 cricket, with consistent bounce, true pace and a quick outfield. Seamers may find a little early movement, but stroke-players are generally rewarded. Spinners can do a job with tight lines, although big turn is unusual, and totals of 170–190 are often competitive here.

Weather

Around 7:15 pm local time it should be mild at about 20–22 °C, partly cloudy to overcast. Showers may have passed earlier in the day, but the chance of rain during play looks low and humidity is moderate.

Frequently asked questions

Where is Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades being played?

The 33rd match of BBL 2025-26 is at Sydney Showground Stadium on 12 January 2026.

Who is favoured to win?

Our preview picks Melbourne Renegades, who still have playoff hopes, over a Thunder side already out of finals contention.

How are Thunder’s bowlers doing?

Their bowlers failed to defend a strong batting total in a seven-wicket loss to Brisbane Heat, so tighter discipline is a priority.

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