Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Prediction & Match Preview – BBL 30th Match
Match summary
Renegades, on a two-match winning run, host a Melbourne Stars side desperate for a win at Docklands on 10 January 2026. Our BBL preview and XIs.
Match details
| Match | Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars, 30th Match |
|---|---|
| Series | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
| Date | 10 Jan 2026 |
| Start time | 8:15 am GMT / 7:15 pm local |
| Venue | Docklands Stadium, Melbourne |
| Status | Played |
| Our pick | Melbourne Renegades |
| Toss pick | Melbourne Stars |
Matches in this series
Match preview
Will Sutherland’s Renegades go into the Melbourne derby on the back of a four-wicket win over Perth Scorchers, their second victory in a row. The bowlers did the bulk of the work in that game, and Sutherland will want more from the batters. They have also beaten the Stars once already this season and will be keen to keep that record intact.
Josh Brown and Tim Seifert provide firepower at the top, though Mohammad Rizwan’s lack of runs has been a worry for the middle order, where Jake Fraser-McGurk and Oliver Peake also play a part. Hassan Khan and Sutherland are expected to finish. Gurinder Sandhu took four wickets last time and will share the new ball with Jason Behrendorff, while Callum Stow and Sutherland were a little expensive and need to tighten up.
Marcus Stoinis’s Stars are under pressure after three straight defeats, the latest a six-wicket loss to Sydney Sixers in which the batting collapsed. Sam Harper and Thomas Rogers are expected to open, with Stoinis, Campbell Kellaway and Blake Macdonald through the middle and Glenn Maxwell and Hilton Cartwright to finish. Peter Siddle and Liam Hatcher must provide early breakthroughs, with Haris Rauf and Mitchell Swepson adding variety.
Docklands Stadium usually offers a good batting surface with even bounce and consistent pace. The new ball comes onto the bat nicely in the powerplay, and quick bowlers may find some early movement under lights before run rates rise as the ball softens. Spinners get limited turn, but those with good variations can still be effective in the middle overs. It is a balanced wicket with a slight lean towards batters, and totals of 170–190 are often competitive in T20s here.
Conditions should be largely favourable, with mild to warm weather, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and little threat of rain. Temperatures are likely to sit in the low to mid-20s°C and ease later, with light winds and dry air limiting disruption.
Expected scores
| Innings | Predicted | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| First innings | 160–175 | – |
| Second innings | 155–170 | – |
Melbourne Renegades
The Renegades have won back-to-back games and already beat the Stars this season, while the Stars have lost three in a row.
Toss pick: Melbourne Stars
FAQ
Who is expected to win Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars?
Our preview favours Melbourne Renegades, who have won two in a row and have already beaten the Stars this season.
Why is this a big game for the Stars?
They have lost three straight matches and their qualification hopes are hanging by a thread, so it is effectively a must-win.
What total is considered competitive at Docklands?
Scores in the 170–190 range are often competitive here, and our expected first-innings range is 160–175.
Probable XIs
Expected line-ups from our preview. c = captain, wk = wicketkeeper.
Melbourne Renegades
- Will Sutherlandc
- Josh Brown
- Tim Seifert
- Mohammad Rizwanwk
- Jake Fraser-McGurk
- Oliver Peake
- Hassan Khan
- Sam Elliott
- Gurinder Sandhu
- Jason Behrendorff
- Callum Stow
Melbourne Stars
- Marcus Stoinisc
- Thomas Rogers
- Sam Harperwk
- Campbell Kellaway
- Blake Macdonald
- Glenn Maxwell
- Hilton Cartwright
- Mitchell Swepson
- Liam Hatcher
- Haris Rauf
- Peter Siddle
Head-to-head
Earlier meetings of Melbourne Renegades and Melbourne Stars that we covered.